[Audacity-devel] Download rate

[Martyn S. <mar...@gm...>]

Hi

I don't know if anybody has every kept download stats for any 
releases, but I have been looking at the downloads of 2.0.0 at about 
the same time of day, when I remember, and putting the numbers in a 
spreadsheet.  I expected the total to go up rapidly, then slow down 
but so far for 2.0.0 it hasn't gone down, after the first few days 
(see attachment).

Googling, there are maybe 1-2 billion (1-2 x 10^9) active PCs in use 
in the world (I assume this means Mac and *nix as well as win).  Or 
maybe less.  Let's call it 500 million - 1 billion, say 750 million.

I am assuming that so far each download has hit 1 PC and stuck.

We have had 2.2 x 10^6 downloads off Google, probably a few more from 
elsewhere.

So that's 0.3% of all PCs in the world.  If we assume that only 1 in 
100 of people with a PC actually want an app such as ours, then 29% of 
them have got it already, which is an amazing (but slightly 
unbelievable) statistic.  And that would probably mean that downloads 
should be slowing down, as it takes time for word to spread, people to 
get around to it, nerves to go away etc..

So I guess one or more of the numbers/assumptions above are incorrect. 
  Maybe there are more % of people wanting Audacity than I think? 
Maybe people download multiple times?  Do you have any explanation? 
Or have I just got my calculations wrong?

TTFN
Martyn