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    COVID-19 Scenarios

    COVID-19 Scenarios

    Models of COVID-19 outbreak trajectories and hospital demand

    Models of COVID-19 outbreak trajectories and hospital demand. This tool is based on the SIR model (see about page for details) that simulates a COVID19 outbreak. The population is initially mostly susceptible (other than for initial cases). Individuals that recover from COVID19 are subsequently immune. Currently, the parameters of the model are not fit data but are simply defaults. These might fit better for some localities than others. In particular, the initial case counts are often only...
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