Just an additional comment about the spreadsheet: What I did in the spreadsheet is not a replica of what the UnBBayes software does.. UnBBayes uses a factored/efficient algorithm, while the spreadsheet is a pure brute-force calculation (because I created a big table containing all states of all nodes and multiplied all CPTs together). Therefore, the spreadsheet won't be replicating the same bugs in UnBBayes (I'm not talking about presence/absence of bugs -- just saying that it's unlikely that these...
A quick'n'dirty explanation is that your network at the right have A, B, and C independent each other, while in the network at the left (when you insert evidence to the Child), the nodes A, B, and C are NOT independent anymore (they became conditionally dependent given the Child -- it's the so called "explain-out" relationship). Virtually speaking, it's like the network at the left had A, B, and C connected with "invisible" arcs, so you were virtually comparing two networks with "different" structures....
A quick'n'dirty explanation is that your network at the right have A, B, and C independent each other, while in the network at the left (when you insert evidence to the Child), the nodes A, B, and C are NOT independent anymore (they became conditionally dependent given the Child -- it's the so called "explain-out" relationship). Virtually speaking, it's like the network at the left had A, B, and C connected with "invisible" arcs, so you were virtually comparing two networks with "different" structures....
Installation Instruction of UnBBayes-MEBN plug-in and links to tutorials
Dynamic recursive models in UnBBayes-MEBN
Dynamic recursive models in UnBBayes-MEBN
Dynamic recursive models in UnBBayes-MEBN
Dynamic recursive models in UnBBayes-MEBN