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The CausalImpact repository houses an R package that implements causal inference in time series using Bayesian structural time series models. Its goal is to estimate the effect of an intervention (e.g. a marketing campaign, policy change) on a time series outcome by predicting what would have happened in a counterfactual “no intervention” world. The package requires as input a response time series plus one or more control (covariate) time series that are assumed unaffected by the...
This R package accompanies Richard McElreath’s Statistical Rethinking (2nd edition), offering utilities to fit and compare Bayesian models using both MAP estimation (quap) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo via RStan (ulam). It supports specifying models via explicit distributional assumptions, providing flexibility for advanced statistical workflows.