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Models of COVID-19 outbreak trajectories and hospital demand
...Currently, the parameters of the model are not fit data but are simply defaults. These might fit better for some localities than others. In particular, the initial case counts are often only rough estimates. The primary purpose of the tool is to explore the dynamics of COVID19 cases and the associated strain on the health care system in the near future. The outbreak is influenced by infection control measures such as school closures, lock-down etc. The effect of such measures can be included in the simulation by adjusting the mitigation parameters. ...